AI

AI-JETT

Academic Research Paper

AI-JETT Framework

Artificial Intelligence-enabled Just Energy Transition Taxonomy for Developing Inclusive and Equitable Energy Systems in Africa

Energy JusticeMachine LearningSDG 7Africa
Authors
Christo NichollsCEO, Utility Consulting Solutions (Pty) Ltd
Lavina RamkissoonAmbassador, AU-ASRIC & AU-Sixth Region, African Union

The Energy Challenge in Africa

600M+

People Without Electricity

In Africa

313 GW

Generation Capacity

Installed

900M

Using Traditional Biomass

For cooking

2.5B

Projected Population

By 2050

Abstract

Africa's energy transition presents a unique opportunity to leapfrog conventional development pathways and establish inclusive, equitable energy systems. However, the complexity of balancing electricity availability, affordability, and equitable access requires structured decision-support frameworks.

This paper develops the Artificial Intelligence-enabled Just Energy Transition Taxonomy (AI-JETT), a novel comprehensive classification system that integrates three critical dimensions—electricity availability, affordability, and equity—into an operational framework for policy and infrastructure planning.

The taxonomy classifies energy systems into four typologies and operationalizes this classification through a four-layer AI architecture encompassing data integration, modeling, policy simulation, and governance.

The Energy-Population Paradox
A Critical Challenge Requiring Systemic Solutions

The energy-population paradox is defined as the systematic structural decoupling between aggregate generation capacity growth and household-level energy access outcomes—a condition in which macroeconomic and infrastructure investments in energy supply do not translate into commensurate improvements in the proportion of the population with reliable, affordable electricity.

Key Mechanisms

  • Grid-offgrid mismatch in capacity additions
  • Capital concentration in urban nodes
  • Political economy of incumbent utilities
  • Transmission and distribution constraints
  • Demand-side poverty traps

Key Insight

"The constraint is no longer electrons—but systems"
— Ambassador Lavina Ramkissoon

Core Contributions

Integrated Taxonomy

First framework systematically linking availability, affordability, and equity dimensions within a unified classification system for African energy contexts.

AI as Policy Tool

Positions artificial intelligence as a comprehensive policy decision-support system rather than merely a technical optimization instrument.

Validated Framework

Virtual cohort analysis across 180,000 Monte Carlo simulations demonstrates structural robustness and generalizability.

Operational Affordability

Elevates affordability from peripheral concern to core planning dimension with explicit indicators and policy levers.

Sustainable Development Goal Alignment
7

SDG 7: Affordable and Clean Energy

Providing operational metrics and decision-support tools for tracking progress toward affordable, reliable, sustainable, and modern energy for all.

11

SDG 11: Sustainable Cities and Communities

Providing tools for municipal energy planning that enhance urban sustainability and resilience.